Hobart Hurricanes host Melbourne Renegades in Match 15 of BBL 2025-26 on December 29 at Bellerive Oval.
The Hurricanes hold second position with three wins from four matches.
The Renegades sit at the bottom with one win from two games, facing an urgent need for points.
Small League fantasy contests require consistent performers over risky selections.
This match offers multiple reliable options from the Hurricanes based on venue history.
The Renegades provide limited safe picks due to away performance patterns.
Both teams met seven days ago at this venue. The Hurricanes won by seven wickets with 37 balls remaining, showing complete control.
Form consistency favors the home team across batting and bowling departments.
Bellerive Oval records strongly support Hurricanes selections. They have won eight consecutive matches at this ground.
The Renegades have not won here since 2017, creating clear fantasy direction for Small League entries.
Fantasy players should prioritize ownership overlap in Small Leagues. Avoiding popular picks creates downside risk when those players perform.
This match context suggests heavy Hurricanes exposure with selective Renegades additions.
HUR vs REN Dream11 Prediction Today BBL
HUR vs REN Dream11 Prediction Today BBL on 29 Dec 2025
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades |
| Date | 29 December 2025 |
| Time | 7:15 PM Local / 1:45 PM IST |
| Venue | Bellerive Oval (Ninja Stadium), Hobart |
| Tournament | Big Bash League 2025-26 |
Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Match Preview
The Hurricanes have maintained 100% home success over eight matches at Ninja Stadium.
Nikhil Chaudhary leads their scoring with 161 runs in four innings at a consistent rate.
Ben McDermott brings 648 career runs against the Renegades, providing historical reliability for fantasy selection.
Melbourne’s away record at Bellerive shows six consecutive losses. Tim Seifert carries their batting with 136 runs in two innings, including a century.
The rest of their lineup lacks consistency metrics that justify heavy Small League inclusion.
Mitchell Owen and Chaudhary provide stable opening options for the Hurricanes.
Matthew Wade returns after missing one match, adding experienced finishing ability.
Nathan Ellis controls both powerplay and death overs, offering dual-phase bowling points.
The Renegades depend on Seifert and Oliver Peake for batting output.
Peake scored 71 runs across two innings at a 170 strike rate. Mohammad Rizwan and Jake Fraser-McGurk have underperformed, creating selection risk despite their names carrying ownership weight.
Head-to-head data shows the Hurricanes winning 13 of 22 total encounters.
Recent form includes four wins from five meetings.
Fantasy consistency patterns strongly favor home team selections in Small League formats where safety outweighs differentiation.
Pitch Report
| Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
| Pitch Type | Balanced with early seam movement |
| Avg 1st Innings Score | 160-170 runs |
| Pace vs Spin | Pacers take early wickets, spinners control middle overs |
| Boundary Size Impact | Long square boundaries assist spinners |
| Batting Difficulty | Challenging first 6 overs, eases after powerplay |
| Toss Influence | Batting first provides stability advantage |
Fast bowlers gain swing movement during powerplay overs at Bellerive.
Batters face difficulty settling initially, creating wicket-taking opportunities. Fantasy points accumulate for opening bowlers who bowl disciplined lines.
Batting becomes easier after the first six overs as the ball loses hardness.
Spinners come into play during the middle overs with long boundaries forcing batters into risks. Teams batting first have posted defendable totals consistently this season.
Weather Report
| Condition | Details |
|---|---|
| Temperature | High 20°C / Low 15°C |
| Humidity | 45-50% |
| Wind | Light to moderate crosswinds |
| Rain Chance | 0% |
| Overall Condition | Clear evening, ideal for cricket |
Clear weather with moderate humidity aids swing bowling during opening overs.
Crosswinds from the Derwent River create lateral movement for seamers. Fielding conditions remain dry with no interruption expected, ensuring full fantasy point potential.
Toss Prediction
The user wants a toss prediction focused on safety and consistency for the MLB strategy.
I should emphasize batting first trends and avoid speculative language.
Teams batting first at this venue have achieved higher win rates this BBL season.
The Hurricanes have defended scores above 165 successfully in recent home matches. Chasing under lights presents additional challenges with early wicket risks.
Historical records show a 60% success rate for teams batting first at Bellerive.
Pitch behavior changes under lights, making power play navigation difficult for chasing teams. Bowling first allows teams to exploit early movement conditions.
The winning captain will likely bat first and target 165-170. Setting targets removes the pressure of chasing unknown totals.
Fantasy selections should account for batters from the team batting first having more stable scoring opportunities.
Injury Updates
Hobart Hurricanes
- Tim David is unavailable due to a hamstring injury from the Perth Scorchers match
- Matthew Wade is available after recovering from a minor issue
- Beau Webster joins the squad after Test duty release for one match
Melbourne Renegades
- Tom Rogers is out with an ongoing injury
- Caleb Jewell is available for selection
- Full squad otherwise fit and ready
Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Head-to-Head Records
| Category | Record |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 22 |
| Hurricanes Wins | 13 |
| Renegades Wins | 9 |
| Matches in Hobart | Multiple since 2017 |
| Last REN Win Here | 2017 |
The Hurricanes control this matchup with 13 wins from 22 meetings overall.
Home venue amplifies their advantage with six consecutive Bellerive victories. The Renegades have not won at this ground in eight years.
Recent form shows four Hurricanes wins from the last five encounters.
Only one Renegades victory appears in recent history. Small League strategy requires following dominance patterns rather than contrarian selections.
Last Five Matches
| Date | Result |
|---|---|
| 21-Dec-2025 | Hurricanes won by 7 wickets (with 37 balls remaining) |
| 14-Jan-2025 | Hurricanes won by 4 wickets (with 2 balls remaining) |
| 19-Dec-2024 | Renegades won by 6 wickets (with 66 balls remaining) |
| 04-Jan-2024 | Hurricanes won by 6 wickets (with 8 balls remaining) |
| 23-Dec-2023 | Hurricanes won by 6 wickets (with 6 balls remaining) |
Top Picks For The Match
| Player | Team | Role | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Ellis | HUR | Bowler | Consistent wicket-taker in powerplay and death overs |
| Ben McDermott | HUR | Wicketkeeper-Batter | 648 career runs vs REN, scored 49* last match |
| Nikhil Chaudhary | HUR | Batter | 161 runs in 4 matches, 79 off 38 in the previous meeting |
| Tim Seifert | REN | Wicketkeeper-Batter | 136 runs in 2 innings, only consistent REN batter |
| Mitchell Owen | HUR | Batter | Reliable opener with powerplay scoring consistency |
| Matthew Wade | HUR | Wicketkeeper-Batter | Returns fit, provides finishing stability |
| Oliver Peake | REN | Batter | 71 runs at 170 SR in recent innings |
| Beau Webster | HUR | All-rounder | Adds batting depth and bowling option |
Conclusion:
Small League contests require ownership alignment with popular, reliable picks.
Nathan Ellis, McDermott, and Chaudhary will carry high ownership based on form and venue history.
Avoiding these players creates significant downside risk if they perform.
The Hurricanes’ eight-match home streak makes them safe fantasy choices.
Tim Seifert provides the only reliable Renegades selection based on recent consistency.
Building teams with 6-7 Hurricanes players reduces variance in Small League formats.
Captain’s choices should focus on Ellis for bowling safety or McDermott for batting reliability.
Vice-captain options include Chaudhary or Seifert, depending on the wicketkeeper selection strategy.
Avoid risky differentials that could underperform against ownership trends.
Fantasy teams should prioritize consistent scorers over explosive but inconsistent options.
The data support heavy Hurricanes exposure with minimal Renegades inclusions.
Select only proven Renegades performers like Seifert to maintain competitive Small League positioning.
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