Numbers don’t lie. And right now, the numbers heavily favor India.
India has beaten South Africa in their last four consecutive ODI matches. That’s not luck—that’s dominance.
The first ODI of this series showed exactly why. India posted 349/8, a mountain of runs. South Africa fought hard, reaching 332/10, but fell 17 runs short.
Recent Head-to-Head Record:
Over the last 11 ODI matches between these two teams, India leads 6-5. Close overall, but India’s recent form is far superior.
Key Statistical Trends:
- India’s batting average in the last 5 ODIs: 58.4 runs per wicket
- South Africa’s batting average: 42.1 runs per wicket
- India’s bowling economy: 5.2 runs per over
- South Africa’s bowling economy: 5.8 runs per over
These differences matter. India scores more runs per wicket and concedes fewer runs per over.
But here’s the twist for your IND vs SA 2nd ODI Dream11 prediction today match: Raipur changes everything.
The first ODI venue produced 681 total runs. Raipur? The average score is just 108 runs in recent matches. That’s an 85% reduction!
IND vs SA 2nd ODI Dream11 Prediction Today Match
Your fantasy strategy must adapt completely.
Raipur Venue Statistics: Complete Breakdown
Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium has developed a clear reputation over recent years.
Comprehensive Venue Analysis Table:
| Venue Metric | Statistics | Impact on Fantasy |
|---|---|---|
| Average 1st Innings Score | 108 runs (last 5 ODIs) | Very low scoring |
| Average 2nd Innings Score | 94 runs (chasing difficult) | Even lower chasing |
| Highest Score (Recent) | 142/8 in 50 overs | Batting is tough |
| Lowest Score (Recent) | 87/10 in 38 overs | Collapses happen |
| Toss Win → Bowl First | 100% (5 out of 5) | Always bowl first |
| Win % Batting First | 0% (0 out of 5) | Never won batting first |
| Win % Batting Second | 100% (5 out of 5) | Always win chasing |
| Pace Bowler Wickets | 73% of total wickets | Pacers dominate |
| Spinner Wickets | 27% of total wickets | Limited spin success |
| Average Match Duration | 86.4 overs (both innings) | Games finish early |
| Boundary % of Total Runs | 38% (low boundary rate) | Singles/doubles crucial |
What These Numbers Mean:
The toss becomes absolutely critical. Every team winning the toss has bowled first. Every single one has won.
Pace bowlers take nearly three-quarters of all wickets. Your Dream11 team needs 4-5 fast bowlers minimum.
Spinners get only 27% of wickets. Don’t load your team with spin options.
A low boundary percentage (38%) means batsmen struggle to hit fours and sixes freely. Accumulating runs is difficult.
Team Comparison: India vs South Africa (Statistical Overview)
Let’s compare both teams’ recent performances across multiple metrics.
Comprehensive Team Statistics Table:
| Metric | India (Last 5 ODIs) | South Africa (Last 5 ODIs) | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches Won | 4 out of 5 (80%) | 2 out of 5 (40%) | India |
| Total Runs Scored | 1,548 runs | 1,342 runs | India (+206 runs) |
| Average Runs Per Match | 309.6 | 268.4 | India |
| Total Wickets Taken | 43 wickets | 38 wickets | India (+5 wickets) |
| Bowling Strike Rate | 32.1 balls per wicket | 37.8 balls per wicket | India |
| Economy Rate | 5.24 runs per over | 5.81 runs per over | India |
| Highest Individual Score | 142 (Rohit Sharma) | 98 (Quinton de Kock) | India |
| Best Bowling Figures | 4/32 (Jasprit Bumrah) | 3/41 (Keshav Maharaj) | India |
| Dot Ball % | 47.3% | 43.8% | India |
| Boundary % | 41.2% | 39.6% | India |
| Death Overs Economy | 6.8 runs/over | 7.9 runs/over | India |
| Powerplay Success | 62 runs average | 54 runs average | India |
Analysis:
India dominates across every single metric. They score more runs, take more wickets, bowl tighter lines, and control powerplays better.
South Africa’s only hope? Individual brilliance from players like Marco Jansen or Quinton de Kock can change matches single-handedly.
For fantasy purposes, India-heavy teams make statistical sense. But contrarian picks from South Africa can yield massive rewards if they fire.
Fantasy Form Index: Player Rankings Based on Recent Performance
I’ve created a “Fantasy Form Index” that rates players on a scale of 0-100 based on multiple factors:
- Recent runs/wickets
- Strike rate/economy rate
- Match impact
- Consistency
- Venue suitability
Fantasy Form Index Table:
| Rank | Player | Team | Role | Recent Stats | Form Index | Fantasy Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohit Sharma | IND | Opener | 335 runs @ 142.5 SR | 96/100 | Excellent |
| 2 | Jasprit Bumrah | IND | Pacer | 12 wickets @ 4.8 eco | 94/100 | Excellent |
| 3 | Virat Kohli | IND | Batter | 210 runs @ 135.8 SR | 91/100 | Excellent |
| 4 | Marco Jansen | SA | All-rounder | 99 runs + 8 wkts | 89/100 | Very Good |
| 5 | Hardik Pandya | IND | All-rounder | 125 runs + 6 wkts | 87/100 | Very Good |
| 6 | Quinton de Kock | SA | WK-Batter | 198 runs @ 128.5 SR | 84/100 | Very Good |
| 7 | Keshav Maharaj | SA | Spinner | 10 wickets @ 5.2 eco | 81/100 | Good |
| 8 | KL Rahul | IND | WK-Batter | 178 runs @ 118.6 SR | 79/100 | Good |
| 9 | Mohammed Siraj | IND | Pacer | 8 wickets @ 5.6 eco | 76/100 | Good |
| 10 | Aiden Markram | SA | Batter | 144 runs @ 120.0 SR | 74/100 | Good |
| 11 | Kuldeep Yadav | IND | Spinner | 9 wickets @ 5.4 eco | 72/100 | Moderate |
| 12 | Matthew Breetzke | SA | Opener | 151 runs @ 132.4 SR | 69/100 | Moderate |
Key Insights:
Top 3 players all deserve captain/vice-captain consideration. Rohit’s 96/100 rating is exceptional.
Marco Jansen at #4 is the highest-rated South African. His all-round ability on a pace-friendly pitch makes him gold.
Notice that pacers (Bumrah, Siraj, Jansen) rank higher than spinners (Maharaj, Kuldeep) because Raipur favors pace bowling heavily.
Matthew Breetzke at #12 is a budget option. His 69/100 rating means moderate risk but decent potential.
Critical Matchups That Will Decide Fantasy Points
Fantasy cricket isn’t just about picking good players. It’s about understanding which matchups favor your picks.
Matchup 1: Rohit Sharma vs Marco Jansen
Rohit’s Strengths:
- Timing the ball perfectly (335 runs in 5 matches)
- Dominates left-arm pace historically (65% success rate)
- Pull shot to short balls is his signature
Jansen’s Strengths:
- 6’8″ height creates an awkward bounce for batsmen
- Left-arm angle troubles right-handers
- Got Rohit out twice in last 8 encounters
Statistical Edge: Jansen holds a slight edge (58% vs 42%) in their career matchup. But Rohit’s current form is exceptional.
Fantasy Impact: If Jansen gets Rohit early, massive blow to India. If Rohit survives first 10 balls against Jansen, he’ll likely score 60+ runs.
Recommendation: Both MUST be in your ind vs sa 2nd odi dream11 prediction today team. Make one captain, other vice-captain.
Matchup 2: Virat Kohli vs Keshav Maharaj
Kohli’s Strengths:
- Plays spin beautifully (averages 58.4 vs spin in ODIs)
- Excellent footwork against slow bowlers
- Rarely gets out to spinners in middle overs
Maharaj’s Strengths:
- Left-arm orthodox with subtle variations
- 10 wickets in last 5 ODIs shows excellent form
- Economy rate of 5.2 keeps pressure on batsmen
Statistical Edge: Kohli dominates this matchup completely (78% success rate). He’s dismissed by Maharaj only once in 12 encounters.
Fantasy Impact: Maharaj will bowl during Kohli’s innings. But history suggests Kohli will play him comfortably and rotate strike.
Recommendation: Pick Kohli confidently. Pick Maharaj for economy points rather than expecting Kohli’s wicket.
Matchup 3: Heinrich Klaasen vs Mohammed Siraj
Klaasen’s Strengths:
- Powerful middle-order batter for South Africa
- Strikes at 118+ against pace in the middle overs
- Can accelerate quickly if set
Siraj’s Strengths:
- Swings the new ball excellently
- Gets extra bounce from the hard Raipur surface
- Death bowling specialist (6.8 economy in last 5)
Statistical Edge: Siraj holds a commanding advantage (72% success rate). Klaasen struggles against quality swing bowling.
Fantasy Impact: If Klaasen survives Siraj’s spell, he can score big. But Siraj bowling well likely means Klaasen gets out cheaply.
Recommendation: Siraj is a safer pick for this matchup. Klaasen is a high-risk, high-reward option.
Fantasy Captain & Vice-Captain Logic Based on Statistics
Choosing captain and vice-captain isn’t guesswork. It should be data-driven.
Captain Selection Matrix:
| Player | Form Rating | Venue Suitability | Ownership % | Captain Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohit Sharma | 96/100 | Good (opener advantage) | 35% | 88/100 |
| Virat Kohli | 91/100 | Excellent (previous success) | 42% | 87/100 |
| Jasprit Bumrah | 94/100 | Excellent (pace-friendly) | 18% | 85/100 |
| Marco Jansen | 89/100 | Excellent (tall pacer) | 12% | 82/100 |
| Hardik Pandya | 87/100 | Very Good (all-rounder) | 15% | 76/100 |
Safe Captain Strategy (Small Leagues):
Choose Rohit Sharma or Virat Kohli. Both have 88+ captain scores.
High ownership means many people pick them. But high form ratings mean they’ll likely perform.
Safe captains help you stay competitive without taking unnecessary risks.
Risky Captain Strategy (Grand Leagues):
Choose Jasprit Bumrah or Marco Jansen. Lower ownership (12-18%) means a differential advantage.
If Bumrah takes 4 wickets, you’ll rank top 50 easily. If Jansen scores 40 runs + takes 3 wickets, you’ll win big.
Grand leagues require risks because thousands compete. Playing it safe won’t differentiate you.
Vice-Captain Logic:
Use the opposite strategy from the captain’s choice.
- Safe Captain → Risky Vice-Captain
- Risky Captain → Safe Vice-Captain
This hedges your bets perfectly. One will likely deliver even if the other fails.
Head-to-Head: Recent Match Results
| Date | Venue | India Score | SA Score | Result | Match Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | India | 349/8 (50 ov) | 332/10 (49.2) | IND won by 17 runs | High-scoring thriller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | SA | 296/8 (50 ov) | 218/10 (45.5) | IND won by 78 runs | India dominated |
| Dec 19, 2023 | SA | 211/10 (46.2) | 215/2 (42.3) | SA won by 8 wickets | SA chased well |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SA | 116/10 (27.3) | 117/2 (16.4) | IND won by 8 wickets | Low-scoring India win |
| Nov 5, 2023 | World Cup | 326/5 (50 ov) | 83/10 (27.1) | IND won by 243 runs | Complete demolition |
Pattern Analysis:
India won 4 out of 5 recent matches. Their home advantage is clear—both matches in India resulted in wins.
Score variations are massive: from 83 runs (SA collapsed) to 349 runs (India dominated). This shows conditions matter hugely.
Raipur’s 108-run average suggests this match will resemble the 116 vs 117 low-scorer from December 2023.
Dream11 Team Structure Options: Three Strategic Approaches
Different team structures suit different leagues and risk appetites.
Structure 1: Balanced Approach (1-3-3-4)
Formation: 1 WK + 3 BAT + 3 ALL + 4 BOWL
When to Use: Small leagues, head-to-head contests
Logic: Provides equal weightage to batting and bowling. Covers all bases without overcommitting to one strategy.
Sample Balanced Team:
- WK: KL Rahul
- BAT: Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Quinton de Kock
- ALL: Hardik Pandya, Marco Jansen, Axar Patel
- BOWL: Jasprit Bumrah, Mohammed Siraj, Kuldeep Yadav, Keshav Maharaj
Expected Points: 450-550 points (moderate ceiling, high floor)
Structure 2: Bowling-Heavy Approach (1-2-3-5)
Formation: 1 WK + 2 BAT + 3 ALL + 5 BOWL
When to Use: Grand leagues, when expecting a low-scoring match
Logic: Raipur’s 108-run average and 100% bowl-first toss success rate favor bowlers heavily. Five specialist bowlers maximize wicket-taking opportunities.
Sample Bowling-Heavy Team:
- WK: Quinton de Kock
- BAT: Virat Kohli, Rohit Sharma
- ALL: Marco Jansen, Hardik Pandya, Axar Patel
- BOWL: Jasprit Bumrah, Mohammed Siraj, Arshdeep Singh, Kuldeep Yadav, Keshav Maharaj
Expected Points: 400-600 points (high ceiling, moderate floor)
Risk Factor: If the match turns into a high-scorer (unlikely but possible), you’ll struggle with only 2 specialist batsmen.
Structure 3: Batting-Heavy Approach (1-4-3-3)
Formation: 1 WK + 4 BAT + 3 ALL + 3 BOWL
When to Use: If both teams bat well despite pitch conditions, practice matches
Logic: Contrarian approach that bets against Raipur’s historical data. If teams score 250+, you’ll dominate rankings.
Sample Batting-Heavy Team:
- WK: KL Rahul
- BAT: Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Quinton de Kock, Aiden Markram
- ALL: Hardik Pandya, Marco Jansen, Axar Patel
- BOWL: Jasprit Bumrah, Mohammed Siraj, Kuldeep Yadav
Expected Points: 350-500 points (moderate ceiling, lower floor)
Risk Factor: Only 3 specialist bowlers on a bowling-friendly pitch means you might miss crucial wicket points.
Recommendation:
For this specific IND vs SA 2nd ODI Dream11 prediction today match, I strongly recommend Structure 2 (Bowling-Heavy).
Statistical data overwhelmingly support more bowlers. Don’t fight the numbers.
Final Match Prediction Based on Statistical Analysis
Predicted Winner: India (68% probability)
Reasoning:
- Home Advantage: India’s 80% win rate in the last 5 ODIs
- Bowling Strength: Bumrah’s 12 wickets in 5 matches vs SA’s injured Rabada
- Recent Form: India has won their last 4 consecutive matches vs SA
- Venue History: Teams batting second win 100% at Raipur; India likely bats second
- Statistical Edge: India ahead in 11 out of 12 key metrics
Predicted Scores:
- Team batting first: 185-215 runs
- Team batting second: 186-220 runs (wins by 3-5 wickets)
Most Likely Scenario:
South Africa wins toss, bowls first (100% historical trend). India bats cautiously, scores 200-210. South Africa chases but falls 15-25 runs short.
For your IND vs SA 2nd ODI Dream11 prediction today match Team:
- ✅ Must-picks: Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Jasprit Bumrah, Marco Jansen
- ✅ Safe captain: Rohit Sharma or Virat Kohli
- ✅ Differential captain: Jasprit Bumrah (for Grand Leagues)
- ✅ Team structure: 1-2-3-5 (bowling-heavy)
- ✅ Budget savings: Use Matthew Breetzke or Axar Patel
- ✅ Avoid: Lower-order batsmen (won’t get to bat), part-time bowlers
Final Statistical Confidence Level:
Based on comprehensive data analysis, India has a 68% win probability. Your fantasy team should reflect this by including 6-7 Indian players versus 4-5 South African players.
Good luck! Let statistics guide your selections! 📊🏏
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