Sydney Thunder face Melbourne Renegades at ENGIE Stadium in BBL Match 33.
Thunder sit bottom with one win from eight games. Renegades need to win all remaining matches to reach the playoffs.
David Warner has scored 323 runs this season. Josh Brown averages 57.3 in his last four innings.
Adam Zampa returns from injury for the Renegades. Daniel Sams leads Thunder bowling with 12 wickets.
Venue trends favor chasing teams. 57% of games at ENGIE Stadium are won by sides bowling first.
The average first innings score is 205 runs. Pitch assists cutters early before flattening out.
This THU vs REN Dream11 prediction today BBL examines form data, venue patterns, and team composition for fantasy selection.
THU vs REN Dream11 Prediction Today Match BBL on 12 Jan 2026
Match Details: Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades
| Match | Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades, BBL Match 33 |
| Date | Monday, 12th January, 2026 |
| Time | 7:15 PM Local / 1:45 PM IST / 8:15 AM GMT |
| Venue | ENGIE Stadium (Sydney Showground Stadium), Sydney |
| Tournament | Big Bash League 2025-26 |
Pitch Analysis
| Surface Nature | Balanced with early bowling advantage |
| Average 1st Innings Score | 205 runs (BBL 2026) |
| Pace Assistance | Fast-medium bowlers average 20.47 |
| Spin Assistance | Spinners average 30.46 |
| Batting Difficulty | Sticky early; improves in the second innings |
| Chasing Trend | 31 wins chasing vs 26 wins batting first |
Weather Conditions
| Temperature | 25-28°C |
| Humidity | 50-60% |
| Wind Speed | Light to moderate |
| Rain Chance | Low; clear skies expected |
| Playing Conditions | Hot summer evening; dew possible in the second innings |
Toss Prediction
Teams bowling first hold a 57% win rate at this venue. Pitch behavior changes between innings. Early sticky surface assists bowlers with pace off deliveries. The second innings offers better batting conditions under lights.
The winning captain is likely to bowl first. The dew factor reduces bowling effectiveness later. Chasing teams average 205 runs successfully this season.
Injury & Squad Updates
Sydney Thunder
- David Warner carries a knee injury but is named in the squad
- Warner expected to play despite not fielding last match
- Nathan McAndrew dropped for poor form
- Charlie Anderson may debut for Thunder
Melbourne Renegades
- Adam Zampa fit after neck strain recovery
- Brendan Doggett ruled out with a hamstring issue
- Andrew Tye replaces Doggett in the squad
- Matthew Spoors dropped following Zampa’s return
Dream11 Combination Strategy
Captain selection centers on David Warner’s 323-run season total. A strike rate above 150 makes him a premium choice. Josh Brown provides a vice-captain option with 229 runs in the last four matches.
Team balance requires three specialist batters and three frontline bowlers. Daniel Sams offers dual value with 12 wickets and lower-order hitting ability. Adam Zampa’s economy rate of 6.00 suits second-innings bowling.
Differential options include Jake Fraser-McGurk for explosive starts. Charlie Anderson presents a low-ownership bowling pick if selected. Avoid Tim Seifert and Mohammad Rizwan due to poor recent form.
THU vs REN Head-to-Head Records
| Matches Played | 19 |
| Thunder Wins | 8 |
| Renegades Wins | 10 |
| No Result | 1 |
| Highest Score | 209 (Sydney Thunder) |
| Lowest Score | 80 (Melbourne Renegades) |
Recent Matches
- Thunder won by 8 runs, 30 December 2024
- Match abandoned without a ball bowled, 17 January 2024
- Thunder won by 8 wickets (with 9 balls remaining), 19 January 2023
- Renegades won by 4 wickets (with 1 ball remaining), 18 December 2022
- Thunder won by 1 run, 19 January 2022
Top Fantasy Picks
| Player | Selection Logic |
| David Warner | 323 runs this season; 130* against Hurricanes; consistent scoring |
| Josh Brown | 57.3 average in the last four innings; scores of 80 and 84 recently |
| Adam Zampa | Economy 6.00; returns from injury; pitch suits spinners |
| Daniel Sams | 12 wickets; Thunder’s top wicket-taker; batting depth at 7 |
Conclusion
This THU vs REN Dream11 prediction match 33, BBL 2025-26 prioritizes Warner and Brown as captain options.
ENGIE Stadium data supports the chasing strategy. Venue history shows 31 successful chases in 60 matches.
Zampa’s return strengthens the Renegades’ spin attack. Thunder depends heavily on Warner with limited support. Clear weather conditions are expected for the full match.
Match Summary
- Starts 7:15 PM Local, 1:45 PM IST, 8:15 AM GMT
- Captain picks: Warner for consistency, Brown for recent form
- Risk factors: Warner injury status, Thunder’s five-match losing streak
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