The first Test between New Zealand and West Indies at Hagley Oval, Christchurch has tilted firmly in the hosts’ favor after two compelling days of cricket.
What started as a balanced contest on Day 1 has turned into a one-sided affair thanks to Jacob Duffy’s magnificent maiden Test five-wicket haul.
Day 1 saw Kane Williamson return to Test cricket after almost a year, marking his comeback with a classy 52.
New Zealand struggled to 231/9 with Michael Bracewell’s 47 providing crucial support.
West Indies’ bowling attack, led by Kemar Roach, Justin Greaves, and Ojay Shields, kept chipping away at the batting lineup.
Day 2 completely belonged to New Zealand. Jacob Duffy demolished West Indies for just 167 runs, claiming 5/34 in a devastating spell.
Despite a fighting 90-run partnership between Shai Hope (56) and Tagenarine Chanderpaul (52), West Indies collapsed from 157/6 to 167 all out, losing four wickets for just 10 runs.
New Zealand ended Day 2 at 32/0 in their second innings, extending their overall lead to 96 runs. Tom Latham (14*) and Devon Conway (15*) will resume batting on Day 3 with a commanding position.
NZ vs WI 2025 1st Test Day 3 Odds, Prediction & Match Highlights
This NZ vs WI 2025 1st Test Day 3 Odds, Prediction & Match Highlights guide provides complete analysis, betting odds, and predictions for the crucial third day.
Day 1 Highlights: Williamson’s Return & Tight Bowling
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Score at Stumps | 231/9 in 70 overs |
| Run Rate | 3.3 runs per over |
| Top Scorer | Kane Williamson – 52 (102 balls) |
| Other Contributions | Bracewell 47, Blundell 29, Smith 23 |
| Best Bowler (WI) | Kemar Roach – 17–6–47–2 |
| Other Key Bowlers | Greaves 2/35, Shields 2/34, Chase 1/13, Seales 1/44 |
| Toss | West Indies (elected to bowl first) |
| Key Partnership | 52-run stand between Bracewell & Smith |
| Not Out at Stumps | Zakary Foulkes 4* & Jacob Duffy 4* |
| Fall of Wickets | 1–1, 94–2, 95–3, 103–4, 120–5, 148–6, 200–7, 215–8, 227–9 |
Day 1 Summary:
Kane Williamson’s return was the highlight, but West Indies’ disciplined bowling prevented any big partnerships. Roach, Greaves, and Shields shared six wickets between them, keeping New Zealand below 250.
Day 2 Highlights: Duffy’s Masterclass & Batting Collapse
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| West Indies 1st Innings | 167 all out (75.4 overs) |
| NZ 1st Innings Lead | 64 runs |
| WI Top Scorer | Shai Hope – 56 (107 balls) |
| Other Key Contribution | Chanderpaul – 52 (169 balls) |
| Best Bowler (NZ) | Jacob Duffy – 5/34 (maiden Test five-for) |
| Other Key Bowlers | Matt Henry – 3/39, Zak Foulkes – 1/14 |
| WI Collapse | From 157/6 to 167 all out (4 wickets for 10 runs) |
| NZ 2nd Innings | 32/0 in 7 overs |
| NZ Overall Lead at Stumps | 96 runs |
| Not Out Batters | Latham 14* & Conway 15* |
| Key Moment | Hope–Chanderpaul 90-run stand broken; tail collapsed |
| Conditions | Rain & fading light briefly stopped play |
Day 2 Summary:
Jacob Duffy’s brilliant bowling demolished the West Indies. After Hope and Chanderpaul’s resistance, the tail offered nothing. New Zealand’s openers safely negotiated 7 overs to stretch the lead to 96.
Day 3 Expectations: Pitch, Weather & Match Situation
Current Match Situation:
- New Zealand: Leading by 96 runs with 10 wickets in hand
- West Indies: Need early breakthroughs to stay in the contest
- Session Focus: The First session will be crucial for both teams
Hagley Oval Pitch Behavior on Day 3:
What to Expect:
- Pitch remains balanced, but offering good bounce
- Seam movement is still available for quality bowlers
- Batting becomes easier as the day progresses
- Cracks starting to appear (helps spinners later)
- True bounce allows confident stroke-play
Historical Context:
Average first innings score at Hagley Oval: 251 runs
New Zealand is already ahead of this benchmark with its lead.
Weather Forecast for Day 3:
| Weather Factor | Conditions |
|---|---|
| Temperature | 22°C (comfortable for batting) |
| Sky | Mostly cloudy throughout the day |
| Rain Chance | 15% precipitation probability |
| Humidity | 73% (assists seam bowling) |
| Wind Speed | 13 km/h (moderate) |
Weather Impact:
Cloudy conditions will help New Zealand’s pace bowlers if they get to bowl again. The moderate humidity assists swing, making batting challenging early in sessions.
NZ vs WI 2025 1st Test Day 3 Odds: Complete Betting Analysis
Here are the comprehensive odds from multiple betting platforms:
| Platform | NZ Win | WI Win | Toss (NZ) | Toss (WI) | 1st Inn Lead (NZ) | 1st Inn Lead (WI) | 2nd Inn Lead (NZ) | 2nd Inn Lead (WI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 8.00 | 1.90 | 2.10 | 1.95 | 2.01 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Stake | 1.10 | 8.00 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| BetVibe | 1.29 | 7.50 | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 2.01 | 1.79 | 2.00 |
| 4RABET | 1.29 | 7.90 | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.78 | 2.02 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Understanding the Odds:
Nz vs wi 2025 1st test day 3 odds today show massive NZ advantage:
- New Zealand Win: Odds between 1.10–1.29 (heavily favored)
- West Indies Win: Odds between 7.50–8.00 (massive underdogs)
- Lead Odds: Fairly balanced for both innings leads
Nz vs wi 2025 1st test day 3 odds prediction based on the current situation:
Why New Zealand is a Heavy Favorite:
- ✅ Leading by 96 runs with 10 wickets remaining
- ✅ Home advantage at familiar Hagley Oval
- ✅ Superior bowling attack (Duffy, Henry, Santner)
- ✅ West Indies struggling with batting collapses
- ✅ Weather conditions favoring bowlers
Why West Indies Face an Uphill Battle:
- ❌ Already 96 runs behind
- ❌ Batting lineup collapsed twice in two days
- ❌ Bowling lacks penetration (couldn’t bowl NZ out cheaply)
- ❌ Lost 5 consecutive Tests before this series
- ❌ Away conditions in New Zealand
Possible First Session Scenarios on Day 3:
Scenario 1: New Zealand Extend Lead Significantly (60% Probability)
- Latham and Conway add 80-100 runs
- Lead extends to 180-200 by lunch
- Match moves towards inevitable NZ victory
- West Indies’ morale sinks further
Scenario 2: West Indies Fight Back (25% Probability)
- Roach or Seales take early wickets
- New Zealand lose 3-4 wickets in first session
- West Indies gain psychological advantage
- Match becomes competitive again
Scenario 3: Balanced Session (15% Probability)
- New Zealand add 50-60 runs for 1-2 wickets
- Lead reaches 150 by lunch
- Match remains in NZ’s control but not sealed
Day 3 Prediction: New Zealand to Dominate Further
Predicted Winner: New Zealand (85% chance)
Why New Zealand Will Win:
- ✅ Commanding Lead: 96 runs ahead with all wickets intact
- ✅ Quality Batting: Williamson, Mitchell, Ravindra to come
- ✅ Bowling Superiority: Duffy (5/34) and Henry (3/39) in excellent form
- ✅ Home Conditions: Familiar with Hagley Oval’s behavior
- ✅ West Indies’ Form: Visitors have lost 5 consecutive Tests
Expected Match Progression:
Day 3 Morning Session:
- Latham and Conway add 60-80 runs
- New Zealand declare around 280-300 (lead of 350-370)
- West Indies start second innings
Day 3 Post-Lunch:
- New Zealand bowlers attack with 350+ target
- West Indies lose early wickets
- Match could end on Day 3 or early Day 4
Most Likely Result: New Zealand win by innings or 200+ runs
Why West Indies Might Surprise:
- Desperate teams sometimes play fearlessly
- Shai Hope showed fighting spirit (56 runs)
- Chanderpaul’s patience (52 off 169) could inspire others
- Roach and Seales capable of early breakthroughs
Realistic Assessment:
West Indies need a miracle. Even if they bowl well in first session, the lead is too substantial. New Zealand’s bowling will likely bowl them out twice comfortably.
Key Players to Watch on Day 3
| Player | Team | Role | Stats | Why Crucial? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Latham | NZ | Opener | 14* overnight | Needs to convert start into big score |
| Devon Conway | NZ | Opener | 15* overnight | Partnership with Latham key to big lead |
| Kane Williamson | NZ | Batter | 9276 Test runs, 33 centuries | Can bat NZ out of sight with another fifty |
| Jacob Duffy | NZ | Bowler | 5/34 in 1st innings | Will lead bowling attack in WI 2nd innings |
| Matt Henry | NZ | Bowler | 136 Test wickets | Experienced pacer to support Duffy |
| Kemar Roach | WI | Bowler | 284 Test wickets | Must take early wickets to give WI hope |
| Shai Hope | WI | Batter | 56 in 1st innings | Only consistent performer, needs big 2nd innings |
| Jayden Seales | WI | Bowler | 89 Test wickets | Young pacer must step up |
X-Factor Players:
- Mitchell Santner (NZ): If pitch deteriorates, his spin could be deadly
- Tagenarine Chanderpaul (WI): Showed patience (52 off 169), needs to replicate
Final Verdict: New Zealand in Complete Control
The NZ vs WI 2025 1st Test Day 3 Odds, Prediction & Match Highlights point to one clear conclusion: New Zealand are overwhelming favorites to win this Test match.
Jacob Duffy’s maiden five-wicket haul on Day 2 has put the hosts in a commanding position. With a 96-run lead and 10 wickets in hand, New Zealand can bat West Indies out of the contest completely.
West Indies’ batting has collapsed twice in two days. Unless they produce something extraordinary, this match is heading for a comprehensive New Zealand victory, possibly by innings or 200+ runs.
Key Factors for Day 3:
- Latham-Conway partnership in the first session
- New Zealand’s declaration timing
- West Indies’ response to 350+ target
- Pitch deterioration helping spinners
The odds reflect reality: New Zealand 1.10-1.29, West Indies 7.50-8.00. This is as one-sided as Test cricket gets.
Expect New Zealand to seal victory by Day 4 morning session at the latest. West Indies need a miracle just to make this competitive! 🏏
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